Fundamental talk and major market forecasts – Oanda

Oct 19, 2016, 12:02 PM

China debt fueled growth numbers look unsustainable, says Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst at Oanda while discussing state of the world’s second largest economy with Tip TV’s Zak Mir.

Key points:

China – Numbers look unsustainable given the rising debt

US elections – Paddy Power paying out Clinton bets looks more of a publicity effort. There is still lot of anti establishment vote/sentiment in US that could come out in favour Trump on the Election Day

Japan – International investors are fleeing the Japanese stock markets at fastest pace since 1997. This is slightly confusing given the Bank of Japan is an active buyer in stock markets. It will be interesting to see what BOJ does next

EUR/GBP – last high was built on weak momentum. 0.88 levels is a strong support

EUR/JPY – failed to hold above Ichimoku cloud. Overall trend remains bearish

Footsie – Could see a move towards 6875, which is double top breakdown target, other major indices – S&P, Dow are looking toppy