Today's stocks and macro update: Santa rally to begin in December, or geo-political issues to hold it back?

Nick Batsford, CEO of Tip TV, was alongside Zak Mir, technical analyst for Zak’s Traders Café, and Alan Green, CEO of Brand Communications, when he opened the Tip TV Finance Show to discuss the potential for a Santa rally, as well as a focus on US GDP, the chances of ECB action in December and a stock outlook.

Will the geopolitical situation ruin a potential Santa rally?

Mir outlined that the geopolitical jet fighting, plus the recent mark down in Indices, may ruin the possible Santa rally, conversely Green believed that as soon as December starts the Christmas period will be driving the market up.

US second estimate of Q3 GDP due today

Batsford highlighted FX Street, who expressed that GDP is expected to be revised higher to 2.0% from 1.5%, with Core PCE seen unchanged at 1.3% y/Y. The EUR/USD fell below 1.06 for the first time in 6 months, but they added that a weak US GDP print may see a corrective rally to 1.0740.

Sabine Lautenschlaeger speaks out on ECB policy

Batsford noted Elliott, who commented that German ECB Governing Council and Executive Board member Sabine Lautenschlaeger said yesterday, ‘I don’t see any reason for further monetary policy measures, especially not for an extension of the (asset) purchase programme’ ten days ahead of a rate setting meeting and following Mario Draghi’s Friday comments that QE was helping the economy. She also added, ‘it buys time but does not head the structural causes of slack economic recovery…we should give the numerous and massive monetary policy efforts time to take full effect’.

Stock Outlook

Mir highlighted UKOG which is experiencing a falling wedge formation, and this first sign of recovery could take the stock back towards the 200-DMA.

When concerning GNC, Green believed that a close above the 200-DMA may push the stock higher, following its results being released today.

Watch the video to see further technical analysis on ARM, PTEC, STAN, S&P 500, FTSE 100, Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Glencore, WRES and IRG.

Tags: Santa rally, geopolitical, Indices, Christmas, ECB, Sabine Lautenschlaeger, monetary policy, Mario Draghi, QE, UKOG, GNC, ARM, PTEC, STAN, S&P 500, FTSE 100, Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Glencore, WRES, IRG